---
title: College Basketball Tournament Predictions with Coach Tony Miller
description: Coach Tony Miller gives us his men's and women's college basketball tournament predictions.
---

[Dr. Dish Basketball Blog ](https://blog.drdishbasketball.com)

# [College Basketball Tournament Predictions with Coach Tony Miller](https://blog.drdishbasketball.com/tournament-predictions-with-coach-tony-miller)

 Written by [Tony Miller](https://blog.drdishbasketball.com/author/tony-miller) | Mar 17, 2025

The best time of the college basketball season is officially here! And as you fill our your bracket, check out my Men's and Women's tournament predictions.

## Men's Picks

🏀 West: Florida

🏀 East: Duke

🏀 South: Auburn

🏀 Midwest: Houston

Are you disappointed with my chalk Final Four picks? I’m trying something new this year - a complete bracket based on the Four Factors. The Four Factors, introduced by Dean Oliver, are the four factors that impact a team’s ability to win a basketball game – effective field goal percentage, turnover percentage, offensive rebounding percentage and free throw rate. Here’s how it shakes out for this year’s Final Four picks.

- Duke currently ranks in the top 20 in EFG% (5th) and TO% (19th) as well as 3rd in defensive efficiency.
- Florida ranks in the top 10 in TO% (7th) and OREB% (7th) and has a 55.2 EFG%.
- Auburn sits at 26th in EFG%, 6th in TO%, and 36th in OREB%. There’s a reason they’re the #1 seed overall.
- While Houston ranks outside of the top 50 in EFG% (52.7), they’re in the Top 25 in TO% (21st) and OREB% (11th). Most importantly, they’re the #1 defensive team in the country.

## Women's Picks

🏀 Regional 1: UCLA

🏀 Regional 2: South Carolina

🏀 Regional 3: TCU

🏀 Regional 4: UConn

- The only team to beat both USC and South Carolina? Answer: Coach Cori Close's UCLA Bruins squad. Depth, experience and a national player of the year candidate make the Bruins one of the top 3 to cut down the nets in Tampa.
- Dawn Staley's South Carolina team enter this year's tournament as odds on favorites. A well-balanced roster makes the Gamecocks tough to stop, just ask Texas.
- She's back! Haley Van Lith has looked like pre-LSU HVL since arriving in Fort Worth. A dark horse to go to Tampa, the Horned Frogs will need to get through the Longhorns.
- Paige Beuckers is back and so are the Huskies. If UConn gets hot from outside this March, it could mean another title for Geno.

## WHat ABout the Upsets?

Final Four picks are fun, but everyone knows the upsets are what make March Madness special. So, here are a couple 12-seeds to watch this year:

- Liberty University: The Flames shoot 39.5% from 3 (We’re Dr. Dish. Of course, I’m going to pick a team that can shoot the rock!) and have the #1 EFG% in the country.
- Colorado State: Niko Medved’s team is a fun watch on the offensive end. A unique, fast-paced style of Princeton offense helps generate a high-level offense that may pose some problems for #5 Memphis Tigers.

Stay tuned for more hot takes and play breakdowns throughout the tournament!

[View full post](https://blog.drdishbasketball.com/tournament-predictions-with-coach-tony-miller)

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